No one can predict what the future holds for out-of-home entertainment. But we can look at recent trends and their direction to have some indication of what the future might entail. Here’s some top line findings from our latest research on U.S. consumers:
• From 2004 to 2009 there has been an increase in the total leisure time
for people age 15 and over, for both genders across all income levels and for all types of households with the exception of families with children age 6-12 and none younger than age 6. Perception is a different matter, however: many people believe that they have less leisure time, not more.
• Leisure time on weekdays
has seen the least change since 2004, with some minor reductions. The only exceptions are people who never attended college and families with children 13-17 and none younger than 13. The weekday leisure time of these two groups increased by about 5%.
• Leisure time on weekends and holidays
has increased the most for people who never attended college—10% for those with no high school diploma and 8% for high school graduates. People with a Bachelor or higher college degrees saw a smaller increase of only 1.7%.
• There has been a shift of how people spend their leisure time
. Since 2003 television viewing has increased 9% on all days of the week and the time spent playing video games and using computers has increased by 1/3 (32%). Time spent attending or hosting social events or attending out-of-home cultural, entertainment, sporting or recreational events have all seen a significant decreases of anywhere from 20% to 50%.
An examination of the year-to-year data shows that none of these changes are attributable to the Great Recession, but are rather longer time trends
From 2004 through 2009 we saw the following changes in average household expenditures when adjusted for inflation:
• Household expenditures for all electronics and purchases and rental of music, video and software decreased 11%.
• Household spending on out-of-home entertainment increased 19% between 2004 and 2009. However, there was a 13% decrease on out-of-home entertainment spending near the home that was not spent on vacation type trips. Entertainment expenditures on trips increased 9% during the time period.
• Households with the 40% highest incomes (the top two quintiles of income) are accounting for a growing percentage of all spending on out-of-home entertainment, sports, recreation and culture, now 3/4s of all such spending.
Out-of-home entertainment spending still pales compared to food away-from-home expenditures, basically restaurant spending, which is over four times as much per household, with the households with the 40% highest incomes also accounting for 3/4s of all such spending. Since 2004, household food away-from-home expenditures have remained flat when adjusted for inflation due to spending cutbacks during the Great Recession.
Virtual World vs Real World
So what does all this tell us? Here’s our company’s interpretation based on the above data and our other research.
While leisure time spent in the digital world is increasing, both time and expenditures for out-of-home entertainment near the home are decreasing. The decrease in electronic expenditures does not run counter to this time trend, as consumer electronics are constantly becoming less expensive. What you get for your money today is so much more than in the past and most items have significantly reduced in price. Four years ago I bought a 40” LCD high definition television for $1,600. Just the other day, I saw the same size and brand television for sale for $700, and it had more features and better performance.
At the same time ownership, of electronics has increased, giving more consumers access to it. For example, between 2000 and 2008, household computer ownership has more than doubled across all types of households. Since 2004, the percentage of households owning a video game console has increased from 1/3 to 60%.
The digital world even appears to be t
aking time away from real world socialization. In 2009, the average American spent 30% less time attending or hosting social events than in 2003.
What we are witnessing in terms of entertainment as well as other forms of leisure is a migration from the real world to the virtual world. But why is this happening? It can best be explained by looking at the world of imagination. Of all the voluntary and pleasurable activities American’s can spend their leisure time doing, they spend more time participating in experiences that are not real, that take place in their imaginations, than anything else including eating, drinking, participating in sports, socializing with friends, even sex. They spend about 1/5th (18%) of their waking hours and over one-half of all their leisure time just watching television alone. The imaginary world that they enjoy is the vicarious experiences created by others, including television, books, comics, movies, plays and video games and the worlds we create ourselves including daydreaming and fantasizing. This obsession with the imaginary, especially through electronics and its virtual worlds, can be found as well in European society and is now probably prevalent in most or all economically developed nations.
The imaginary world is so powerful since, in many respects, it is superior to the real world. Most life experiences are rather routine and often boring. Not imaginative worlds, which give us many experiences more wondrous, fantastic and powerful than reality could ever be. Clive James, a critic, put it this way; “Fiction is life with the dull bits left out.” Perhaps that is why people would rather watch Friends on television than spend time with their actual friends, or why reality television shows such as Survivor or The Amazing Race are more interesting and exciting than any vacation can ever be. We can experience worlds that don’t exist such as the worlds of Star Wars or Harry Potter. The imaginary world is safe, a place where we can experience things that would be socially unacceptable, dangerous or even deadly in the real world.
Electronics and media that we can enjoy at home, including video game consoles, television, computers and the Internet, bring unbelievable imaginary worlds to our armchairs. We can be avatars with whatever personality and appearance we want and roam endless worlds of fantasy. Texting, Facebook and other social media allow us to socialize with our friends without leaving home. A new phenomena, what we call mobile entertainment, a new category of out-of-home entertainment brought about by smart phones and similar devices, now brings us entertainment that we can enjoy while we are doing other things no matter where we are.
The I Generation
The recent report, The Future of Free Time, by the Future Foundation and lastminutetravel.com looked at leisure time in the UK and predicts that Western society is moving in the direction of Japan, where electronic media and its imaginary worlds are all consuming to youth. The report points out that the I Generation, children born after 1995, have never experienced education, work or play without the internet. The only world they’ve known encourages them to explore the planet virtually. The report suggests the I Generation might reject travel altogether in favor of gaming, social networking and virtual worlds of imagination. “They will find out-of-home activity too ‘action-poor.’ . . . In the future, in-home entertainment technology will be more exciting, more interactive and more visually appealing.” The report even predicts that, “As in-home entertainment becomes even more engaging, a group of young people will emerge who do not go out any more.”
So is there hope for of the real world of out-of-home entertainment or is it doomed to become a dinosaur?
The only positive non-mobile out-of-home entertainment trend that may give us a clue is the increased entertainment spending on trips and vacation. Quality entertainment experiences at many vacation destinations are far more exciting than community-based entertainment. Some are 100% reality, such as SeaWorld’s live Shamu Rocks show or massive rope courses and zip lines. Others combine reality and technology such as Wild Arctic, which includes a jet helicopter simulator experience at SeaWorld or Universal Studios’ The Wizarding World of Harry Potter. Their appeal is that they are either real experiences that technology cannot replicate (at least until an in-home Star Trek holodeck becomes a reality) and/or they use technology to enhance the real world experiences.
Vacation-based entertainment venues are able to produce these alluring experiences since their high attendance and admission prices make the venues’ economics possible. Of course another factor, even for those attractions that aren’t as extreme, is that vacationers leave the at-home entertainment competition at home. The future of this trend, of course, is dependent on I Generation’s willingness to leave their homes.
Real World plus Virtual World
When it comes to non-vacation out-of-home entertainment, larger regional attractions like theme parks and waterparks with their thrill rides and slides should continue to be appealing due to the physical intensity of their experiences. The real challenge is for smaller community-based entertainment venues such as family entertainment and cultural venues to compete with at-home entertainment. We have identified three possible opportunities.
1. Digital enhancement. The forthcoming book, Infinite Possibilities: Creating Customer Value on the Digital Frontier by Joe Pine and Kim Korn gives one method that will allow smaller local entertainment venues to be competitive with its discussion of how to use digital technology to create innovative experiences that fuse the real and virtual using the Multiverse and its eight realm matrix of the real world, the virtual world and time. Two examples are Augmented Reality, where digital technology is overlaid on the real world to enhance the experience and Alternate Reality that provides a virtual overlay of meaning atop physical experiences.
2. Virtual extension. Extending the real world out-of-home experience both in time and place into the virtual world is another direction for enhancing the appeal of local entertainment venues. This is already occurring in the retail world with what is called convergence. A number of retailers have become very successful with convergence, including Build-a-Bear Workshop. With their Bear purchase, owners get a bear birth certificate, which enables them to go on-line at www.buildabearville.com, a virtual online world, and create their very own virtual bear by going through the same process they experienced in the real world at the store. They can create their own avatar that carries the virtual bear in a backpack. They can play with their furry friends and with other users online, including chatting. The bear owning experience is no longer anchored to the physical world.
3. Destination dining. The third opportunity is to combine out-of-home entertainment with food away-from-home by creating destination dining. The average American eats out over 200 times a year. That frequency far surpasses the number of visits to entertainment venues. For example, the average American only visited the cinema 4.3 times in 2009. Destination dining drives frequency. That is why many movie theatre chains are ramping up their food and beverage offerings with bars, restaurants and even full meals while watching the movie. Food adds another competitive advantage, as no virtual world or imaginative experience can incorporate the real world sensory experience of eating and drinking.
One thing is clear, the future of location-based out-of-home entertainment is not certain. Only those venues that understand the growing competition from at-home and mobile electronics and learn how to change their formulas to make their real world experiences more engaging and relevant to consumers will prosper.
Randy White is CEO of the White Hutchinson Leisure & Learning Group, an international firm that specializes in production, design and consulting for family and children’s leisure & entertainment venues. Randy can be reached via the company’s website http://www.whitehutchinson.com/ or at +816.931-1040, ext 100
© 2010 White Hutchinson Leisure & Learning Group